All the best ideas

February 8, 2010

This as reported by Politico.com

“President Barack Obama told Katie Couric during a Super Bowl pregame interview that he plans to hold a health-reform summit with congressional leaders later this month. “I want to come back [after the Presidents’ Day congressional recess] and have a large meeting — Republicans and Democrats — to go through, systematically, all the best ideas that are out there, and move it forward,” Obama said.”

Too bad all the best ideas are not found among the Members of Congress.


Jobs

February 6, 2010

Creating jobs is now the main focus of government.

“The Center for American Progress has put out such a plan, which calls for infrastructure investment and aid to state and local governments, along with direct investments in job creation through initiatives such as expanding our national service programs. And there is growing momentum in the White House and on Capitol Hill for these types of job creation policies.”

The President wants tax credits for new hires.

Creating jobs is not where we should be focused, we need to focus on creating demand for the goods and services that require workers to provide. Government can’t do that especially on a sustained basis. So, what will encourage and stimulate the 90% of Americans who do have jobs to spend money?

Perhaps less worry over what government will do with taxes direct and indirect, how about putting more discretionary cash in peoples pockets or giving people confidence that the goverment is serious about curbing it’s spending. Initially in this recession people were overextended and in debt, then they became savers, then they were worried about jobs and now, well now they are worried about the future and justifiably, the future of America.

It will be painful for some time to come, but better a longer period of pain than a short dramatic financial collapse of America on the world scene.

Government spending our way out of this one is not the way to go no matter how well meaning it’s proponents may be.

Neither a borrower nor a lender be may sound corny but we better hope the lenders to America don’t read Ben Franklin.


Where health care reform is headed-ok, where

February 5, 2010

By all accounts the President is regrouping on health care with an eye toward a restart with more bipartisan input and perhaps the views of some people who actually know what they are talking about.

This means more delay which may be a good thing if the legislation is improved and made more realistic.

Who knows what will happen or when, but it is clear that the economy and jobs will take the front burner in the months ahead.

It also appears that a new push will be made to “educate” Americans about the reform effort. However, what is really needed is to educate Americans about health care, how it is provided, paid for and why true “reform” is the real need. A sales pitch on the current proposals is no more than a con job. That we don’t need.

While reducing the federal deficit is very important, reforming health care that results in costing shifting from the federal budget to the private sector as it stands now, is the last thing we need.

Many of us thought health care reform would have been a done deal at this point. Oops. But the good news is that we can look forward to having more fun in the spring.


Priorities

February 3, 2010

 

One has to wonder where we place our priorities and whether headlines are more important that real solutions to the invisible problems.

As part of Obama’s new federal spending bill, Florida is  getting 1.3 billion dollars to build the first phase of the rail as early as next year.  The second phase could begin as soon as 2013 and reach all the way to Miami.  

And what does one do after disembarking from the much needed high speed train from Tampa to Orlando?

Multiple familes living in one room in Florida where the majority of housing in the county is considered substandard.


Deficit, what deficit? Take two aspirin and call me in the next decade

February 2, 2010

 

Today’s (February 2, 2010) New York Times contains an editorial about the Obama budget.  After reading it, you would think all is right with the world and any rationale is viable to keep spending and raising taxes.  Indeed, we can each make a valid case for any issue over which we are passionate, a bridge to nowhere for example.  In addition, any discussion of the federal budget just assumes that things like Social Society and Medicare and Medicaid are off the table even though they make up the bulk of the budget and the bulk of the growing deficit. The NYT says the Presidents’ health care reform would have saved money on Medicare (by shifting those costs to everyone else), but that was an illusion from the start, at the same time they were touting saving money they were improving the much decried drug benefit, expanding an entitlement to be precise.

Will everyone who took a car or homebuyer credit please sit down.

I beg to differ on this rationalized justification to continue bankrupting American.  I truly fear for our future, our place in the world, and for the kind of lives we are planning for our children and grandchildren. Let’s be clear though, this is not entirely the fault of politicians.  Americans have come to want more and more without regard to where it is coming from.  It’s fine to bitch and moan about taxes and spending but don’t have your hand out for a new community center or high speed rail line or more subsidized this or that at the same time you are complaining. In today’s political environment Americans are told more and more about what they deserve, what they are entitled to and are promised help with everything from buying a car, to a home, to hiring a new employee all with unquestioned justification in the name of recovery.  Guess what, we are not recovering from anything at the rate we are going.  Step back and look at all this with a wide-angle lens, something is wrong.  While government and its debt grow, we are crippling individual initiative and undermining individual

Are those real, I don't think I ever saw a dollar

responsibility.  No, I am not a right wing Limbaugh wannabe, just someone who cannot fathom the apparent belief that we can keep charging our national credit card and make only minimum payments.

Let’s look at Social Security, untouchable you say.  How about this?  Under the law a person can be divorced an unlimited number of times and each ex-spouse (meeting certain basic criteria) can receive 50% of the ex’s monthly benefits and 100% of the benefit upon the ex spouses death.  So, let’s say a man earns the maximum and pays the maximum tax thereby collecting $2323 per month.  Let us also say the man was married three times including his current wife. Even though he paid as one person and one spouse via his payroll taxes, upon the ex-spouses attain age 60, they each can claim $1,161.50 even if the ex husband has not started collecting a benefit.  In other words, at some point, this clan could be collecting $5807.50 per month and when the guy dies the total monthly benefit to three ex-wives would be $6,969 per month.  Under a private pension, the employee may be forced to give away 100% of his pension in a divorce, but the pension plan can never pay more than the total benefit earned by the worker, that is not so with Social Security, so where does all the extra money come from?  Hee, hee.  This is just one example where an entitlement has gotten out of hand. 

How about the cost of living under Social Security, a COLA is rare in a private pension, but quite common for all government plans, do we see a pattern here?  When the formula under Social Security did not call for an adjustment in benefits for 2010, the cry immediately went out from many in Congress to provide the COLA anyway, and the President wanted to give each retiree $250 in lieu of the COLA.  That should give you an idea of the sincerity associated with trimming the deficit. 

However, back to the COLA, there are many things that can be done that would have a major impact on future liabilities and the deficit.  Some of these were called for by earlier studies of the problem.  For one, the basis for the COLA could be adjusted to accurately reflect the cost of living that applies to seniors, or suspend the COLA for a few years and replace it with non-compounding lump sum payments. Why not cap the COLA, perhaps phase it out over a period of years and or grant it based on total income of Social Security recipients so that incomes over a certain level would be capped or receive only lump sums?  The point is that if anyone gets serious about reform and the deficit and Americans look toward the common good and not their own ox, there are ways to solve these problems gradually.

One thing is for sure, the way to solve our financial woes is not to keep spending and raising taxes to chase an entitlement mentality. 

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Creative ideas, maybe – suspend sales taxes?

February 1, 2010

Do they get it?

Senators Charles Schumer, D-N.Y and Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, wrote an op-ed piece for the New York Times  January 25  in which they called for a Social Security tax break for employers in orders to boost job creation.

The Senators said that, under their plan, “any private-sector employer that hires a worker who had been unemployed for at least 60 days will not have to pay its 6.2% Social Security payroll tax on that employee for the duration of 2010.”

“The Social Security trust fund will then be made whole with spending cuts elsewhere in the budget between now and 2015.”

I don't seem to be getting anywhere

Creating jobs is a fleeting thing if there is no real work to be done. What happens at the end of 2010? Will spending cuts really replenish Social Security? Why would an employer hire and incur all related expenses to save the 6.2% that it would not pay if they don’t hire. Employer are not stupid, they understand the need to sustain a worker in a job when they are hired, that means they have something to do that adds value and revenue to an organization.  Workers were not laid off because of the Social Security tax they were laid off because demand was down and there was no work for them to do.

The key is demand for the goods and services newly hired workers provide, not gimmicks.

A better way to stimulate demand and help the unemployed at the same time; find a way to suspend sales taxes , perhaps by rolling it across America, by certain goods and services, whatever. That goes immediately to people but only if they spend which in turn creates demand across a wide spectrum (and gives politicians less money to throw away).

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The battle over the president’s health-care plan is over

January 31, 2010

Writing  in the January 30, 2010 Wall Street Journal, Peggy Noonan analyzes the Presidents State of the Union address.  Here is what she says about health care reform:

The president did not speak of health care until a half hour in. “As temperatures cool, I want everyone to take another look at the plan we’ve proposed.” Then, “If anyone has a better idea, let me know.” Those bland little sentences hidden in plain sight heralded an epic fact: The battle over the president’s health-care plan is over, and the plan will not be imposed on the country. Waxing boring on the virtues of the bill was a rhetorical way to obscure the fact that it is dead. To say, “I’m licked and it’s done” would have been damagingly memorable. Instead he blithely vowed to move forward, and moved on. The bill will now get lost in the mists and disappear. It is a collapsed soufflé in an unused kitchen in the back of an empty house. Now and then the president will speak of it to rouse his base and remind them of his efforts.

Hillary and Bill Clinton tried and failed to change health care in the U.S., no one else has given it a serious effort (except expanding it as in Medicare Part D and new benefit mandates on a regular basis) and given the current state of things, there isn’t anyone who is likely to try in the near term.  I am not sure the Obama effort is as dead as Noonan believes, but surely anything that does pass will be far less ambitious and likely just as unsuccessful in reforming much of anything.  We will attribute this failure to opposition by special interests, the every evil insurance companies, drug companies, hospitals and device manufacturers, but you also have to include the limited points of view for unions, employers, Medicare beneficiaries and the medical community. 

In reality, this effort failed because once again the fear of health care in all its complexity is an overwhelming fear of all Americans.  The status quo of health care, how it is provided and paid for is so ingrained in our society it simply cannot be changed. It is like the weather, everyone complains and nobody does anything about it. Years of experience tells employers that there is an irrational fear of changes in a health plan, premium increases, out of pocket limits, and of selecting the wrong plan.  Patients have a trust in their physician that is not based on any set of objective facts, they believe whatever their doctor or his staff say regardless of the fact they have no knowledge about a given health benefits plan.  Patients believe that each and every procedure, test, etc. should be covered by health insurance and when there is a denial it is always the fault and misdeeds of the insurance company that is to blame not the terms of a plan or any flaw in the treatment protocol.

Until all these attitudes and perceptions change the chance of true health care reform is remote.  Employers who have been struggling for decades with this problem will continue to do so and their efforts should include keeping a close eye on incremental changes that are likely to be a hallmark of Congress in the months and years ahead.

Good luck!

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Here come the trains

January 30, 2010

 

When I was working, I traveled to Newark, NJ virtually every day for nearly forty-eight years.  Several years ago, someone came up with the brilliant idea of adding a new light rail train from one station to another in Newark, the idea being that people in the western suburbs would take the train all the way to Newark airport (changing trains three times in the process).  On my way to work the train passed in front of me while I sat at a light, this happened nearly every day and I was struck by one thing day after day; there was not one person riding this train yet day after day it sped along on its merry way as happy as Thomas.  Even years later hardly a person rides this multi-million dollar endeavor, especially any time after the early morning rush hour.  One projection was for 7,000 riders per day by 2010 and another on the NJ Transit site said the number was to be 3,500.  I could not find the actual number, but even with the 3,500 estimate it would take about 87 years to recoup the initial cost never mind the ongoing maintenance costs. It was, in fact, a good, impractical idea.

I like you Joe, but just you and me on this thing is starting to get old

Don’t get me wrong, I like trains; I think trains are a good idea, especially high-speed trains, but the key is not the government throwing money into large projects here and there, but rather is there a demand for new high-speed trains?  Will Americans give up their cars to drive from Orlando to Tampa or Miami to Tampa?  Take all the hassle of flying and transfer that to short trips around the US, is that the American way?  Then of course, we have the age old NIMBY.

President Obama’s administration is awarding $810 million to establish a high-speed passenger rail line between Madison and Milwaukee, though it will likely take years to establish the Madison to Milwaukee line and bring it up to 110 mph service. Additional hurdles could also still need to be cleared, such as approval by the Legislature’s budget committee. Scott Harmsen/Kalamazoo Gazette

TAMPA, FL — President Obama spoke to a roaring crowd of supporters at the University of Tampa Thursday.  He said the Florida High Speed Rail Project is the future of United States  transportation.

“There is no reason other countries can build high speed rail lines and we can’t,” Obama said. “That’s what’s going to happen in Tampa.”

As part of Obama’s new federal spending bill, Florida is  getting 1.3 billion dollars to build the first phase of the rail as early as next year.  The second phase could begin as soon as 2013 and reach all the way to Miami. 

At 120 miles an hour, hourly departures will speed travelers from Miami to Orlando in 90 minutes for about 50 dollars a ticket.

There is no reason other countries can provide universal health insurance and we can’t either, but that doesn’t seem to matter.  We keep forgetting that “other countries” are not the United States.  Fifty dollars a ticket, we are years and years away from the first person stepping onto this train and yet someone alredy knows what the ticket will cost (with or without subsidy)?

This new push for high-speed rail all sounds just grand, too grand, more Washington speak during a tough economy, and we have heard it all before.  Grand ideas should never be dismissed out of hand and neither should the idea of high-speed rail.  However, rather than being caught up in the rhetoric, the environment, the politics and the promise of jobs (someday in the future), we should be looking at the details, the real and ongoing cost, the practical problems and the demand for this grand idea.  Grabbing headlines may be fine for politicians, but when our attention moves on to something else, we are left with the mess and the costs to deal with. 

By TED JACKOVICS | The Tampa Tribune

Published: October 27, 2009

TAMPA – Amtrak lost money on 41 of its 45 train lines in 2008, including a $145.23 per passenger loss on the Silver Star that serves Tampa on its New York-Miami run, a Pew Charitable Trusts research group reported Tuesday.

System-wide losses ranged from about $5 to $462 per passenger. The average loss per passenger was about $32, four times the $8 per passenger Amtrak computed using different methods, according to the study by Subsidyscope, which reports on how federal subsidies are used.

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Curious isn’t it?

January 29, 2010

Isn’t it curious that we find it appalling that banks are doing everything possible to make a profit including leveraging cheap money? Isn’t that what a profit making institution is supposed to do?

Why are banks taking money to bail them out any different than the millions of Americans who cheat on their income taxes or those who have convinced themselves that being paid in cash somehow carries a different tax status than credit card sales or W-2 earnings?

Why are “big” bonuses that find their way back into the economy (and charity) different than taxpayer money thrown around as stimulus?

It just gets curiouser and curiouser. What would life be without politicians stirring the pot?


There is no joy in Mudville…

January 28, 2010

 

Mighty Barack has struck out.

Those of us who found little value and a lot of trouble in the Obamacare proposals should find no joy in health care reform going to the back burner as they say in corporate speak, or is it being placed in the parking lot?  No matter, we are still facing increasing health care costs, convoluted incentives to spend money and not to care about the cost and oh yes, people without coverage. Nobody is winning.

Doing nothing is almost (but not quite) worse than doing something akin to current proposals and doing only part of what is now on the table could be worst of all.

Health care reform is dead, health care reform is dead! What do you mean, I lose my coverage when this gig is up?

What we need is to get 20 smart knowledgeable people in a room and say, forget the politics, forget the oxen, and forget the special interests, what is the right thing to do that will:

Make the delivery of health care more efficient and assure consistent high quality no matter where the care is delivered, and

Assure that access to that care is available to all Americans on a fair and equal basis, and

Assure that the growth in the cost of health care remains at a reasonable pace in the future (reasonable meaning something akin to general inflation)

That is not asking too much is it.  I doubt I will be asked to be one of the twenty in this room, but I do know that what comes out of the discussions will mean:

  1. Tax laws will change
  2. Individual responsibility (for health and costs) will increase
  3. No health care services will be totally free
  4. Reimbursement methodologies will change
  5. Treatment protocols will be applied uniformly
  6. The concept of health insurance will be reinstated
  7. Drug companies, insurers, device makers and some providers will make less money (unless they become highly efficient and innovative).
  8. There will be a long transition period
  9. Nobody will be truly happy
  10. In ten years, no one will remember how the system used to work. 

Those who think victory is found in the defeat of health care reform are fools; the need for reform was never in question.

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Another chance at change, do two changes make a no change?

January 28, 2010

Hold on there a minute, we are changing direction, no wait, we are making an adjustment, oh no we are going back to the fundamentals, err, we have reassessed our priorities…

It appears change really is hard, especially in Washington.  Those cynics among us, me included, never had much confidence in this change idea and we were often amazed that so many of the American people thought that anything in Washington politics would change simply because they elected a charismatic politician to the highest office in the land.  I saved the entire content of the Obama campaign website to see how well he did, but I have given up on that idea as I already know the answer.

Now we start the second year of this presidency and head off in another direction seeking change, or more accurately at this point perhaps seeking survival.  I would settle for some real bipartisan accomplishment, some transparency and a president that stops his rhetoric of blame and populist pandering that serves only to further divide American.  We are, after all,  in this together. 

Let’s lift people up to their full potential rather than tear down those who have achieved theirs.

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Priority one… Two…three????

January 28, 2010

Yikes, health care reform is no longer the top priority, what am I going to write about, what are lobbyists to do, the consultants are going to be bored, conference calls will decline by 80% benefit departments will again be relagated to second fiddle and the economy with be in shambles for the lack of work this new lack of interest will cause.

On the other hand, CFOs are still obsessed with the retiree medical liability, nobody likes their premium and Medicare is going bust.

Oh well, we have more speeches to look forward to.


Health care reform on the ropes

January 27, 2010

This from the New York Times (1/27/1010:40pm) on the blog related to the Presidents State of the Union address:

“The strategy now, aides to the president say, is to let the issue fall below the radar, become less radioactive and hope to resurrect a scaled-back version at some point. “

And we thought health care reform was a done deal. Just as the average person is unable to objectively deal with health care and it’s costs so it seems that politicians have learned the same lesson. What people say they want and what they are willing to pay for it are too different things.

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President to spend more time in the field

January 24, 2010

According to an article in the NYT the White House is going to send the President out into the country “considerably” more in 2010 than during his first years in office.

How is that possible? Seems to me he already is spending more time on the road than is desirable. Those who voted for change should be saying, get back to your desk and get to work and stop running for office. While you are there try sitting more in the center of the desk.

Apparently his advisors fear he failed to connect with voters. Could it be he and a growing number of voters are running on different tracks making any connection unlikely? Not surprisingly, it’s all about votes rather than doing the right thing for the Country, but that certainly isn’t anything new, Obama is just is better at making it sound good than most politicians.

The real question is just how gullable Americans are when it comes to lapping up the rhetoric again.

For Republicans the issue is how to not be positioned as the party of no and how to avoid the pitfalls of arrogance as as result of recent victories. I’m betting they blow it.

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Real change

January 23, 2010

Here is a headline from the New York Times today.

“Obama, With Defiant Tone, Vows to Push Agenda”. The article notes that in a speech the President used the word “fight” twenty times.

Just what we need, a defiant president who rather be on the campaign trail than on the Oval Office leading all the American people and the Country.

Our real concern should be the new direction in the rhetoric from change in the old way of politics to populist blame games, scapegoating and moving more and more off center without regard to the views of the majority of Americans.

Once a politician always a politician.

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