Archive | February, 2010

Credit cards and Congress

16 Feb

Some financial expert said today on the morning news that the average American has five credit cards and $11,000 in credit card debt. And by the way she also mentioned there is a new sub prime credit card with a 79% interest rate. I wonder if it is only available to people who are in bankruptcy, foreclosure or who have walked away from a house they just didn’t want to pay for.

Of course, we all know what averages mean. If I was on the elevator with Bill Gates and Warren Buffet our average net worth would be about $40 billion but I’m not sure I could buy much with my share.

Nevertheless the average debt is scary.  The average American has debt equal to 130% of disposable income.  I wonder what the Founding Fathers would think of the US Congress enacting laws to help the average person figure the debt they have gotten into, the interest they will pay and generally how stupid they are.

What do you mean I have to pay my debts? Doesn't Congress have some kind of plan?

It seems hardly a day passes that government is not stepping in to save Americans from themselves. Is that the way it is supposed to be? Dare I mention that Congress may be the last organization in the world qualified to give debt counseling.

There is an easier solution, bring back the debtors prison. If you can’t pay you can’t play. We have a sub-prime crisis alright; in our collective common sense.

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Goldman takes down Greece

14 Feb

Don’t you just love it. First the bankers are blamed for getting homeowners into debt they could not afford and now they are being blamed for enabling Greece to accumulate debt it cannot afford. Next there will be a cash for columns to help Greece stimulate it’s economy.

Isn’t this a little like blaming irresponsible gambling on the bookie?

In any case you can check it out in the NYT.

Who enabled the Greek debt?

Well, what’s the Point?

12 Feb

Nobody will notice a 39% increase in premiums

Assuming that WellPoint is not the dumbest corporate entity on the planet, the new political flap over its proposed premium rate increase of 39% in the individual market presents a good example of the absurdity of the Administrations’ proposed health care reform.  Despite the rhetoric, which is to be expected from politicians, the fact is that nothing in the proposed legislation will lower health care costs especially the ones affected by this increase. 

In fact, the Congressional Budget Office projects that individual premiums will be higher ten years from now than if there were no reform. Changing the underwriting rules, mandating higher benefits, eliminating caps on expenses, shifting cost from Medicare all combine to add costs to private sector coverage. Since there is no true reform in the health care system as was the original stated goal people still need to ask, “Exactly where in these thousands of pages of legislation can I find the secret to controlling health care costs?”

Of course, WellPoint provided an easy target and one wonders why now it would not try to mitigate this increase even knowing it was only a short-term solution, but hey, I gave up the corporate world a month ago.  From the news reports, it appears that the individual market was losing money while other business made money. Somebody should tell the public that the individual market rates could be lower if all other policyholders wanted to subsidize that higher risk group, or WellPoint might have held rates lower only to have an even higher increase in the future. 

On the other hand, I suppose we could follow the progressive solution and expect WellPoint to eliminate all its profit to subsidize rate increases, I guess that would work for a few years, hey if underfunding your promises and obligations works for Medicare, why not try it for all health care?

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All the best ideas

8 Feb

This as reported by Politico.com

“President Barack Obama told Katie Couric during a Super Bowl pregame interview that he plans to hold a health-reform summit with congressional leaders later this month. “I want to come back [after the Presidents’ Day congressional recess] and have a large meeting — Republicans and Democrats — to go through, systematically, all the best ideas that are out there, and move it forward,” Obama said.”

Too bad all the best ideas are not found among the Members of Congress.

Jobs

6 Feb

Creating jobs is now the main focus of government.

“The Center for American Progress has put out such a plan, which calls for infrastructure investment and aid to state and local governments, along with direct investments in job creation through initiatives such as expanding our national service programs. And there is growing momentum in the White House and on Capitol Hill for these types of job creation policies.”

The President wants tax credits for new hires.

Creating jobs is not where we should be focused, we need to focus on creating demand for the goods and services that require workers to provide. Government can’t do that especially on a sustained basis. So, what will encourage and stimulate the 90% of Americans who do have jobs to spend money?

Perhaps less worry over what government will do with taxes direct and indirect, how about putting more discretionary cash in peoples pockets or giving people confidence that the goverment is serious about curbing it’s spending. Initially in this recession people were overextended and in debt, then they became savers, then they were worried about jobs and now, well now they are worried about the future and justifiably, the future of America.

It will be painful for some time to come, but better a longer period of pain than a short dramatic financial collapse of America on the world scene.

Government spending our way out of this one is not the way to go no matter how well meaning it’s proponents may be.

Neither a borrower nor a lender be may sound corny but we better hope the lenders to America don’t read Ben Franklin.

Where health care reform is headed-ok, where

5 Feb

By all accounts the President is regrouping on health care with an eye toward a restart with more bipartisan input and perhaps the views of some people who actually know what they are talking about.

This means more delay which may be a good thing if the legislation is improved and made more realistic.

Who knows what will happen or when, but it is clear that the economy and jobs will take the front burner in the months ahead.

It also appears that a new push will be made to “educate” Americans about the reform effort. However, what is really needed is to educate Americans about health care, how it is provided, paid for and why true “reform” is the real need. A sales pitch on the current proposals is no more than a con job. That we don’t need.

While reducing the federal deficit is very important, reforming health care that results in costing shifting from the federal budget to the private sector as it stands now, is the last thing we need.

Many of us thought health care reform would have been a done deal at this point. Oops. But the good news is that we can look forward to having more fun in the spring.

Priorities

3 Feb

 

One has to wonder where we place our priorities and whether headlines are more important that real solutions to the invisible problems.

As part of Obama’s new federal spending bill, Florida is  getting 1.3 billion dollars to build the first phase of the rail as early as next year.  The second phase could begin as soon as 2013 and reach all the way to Miami.  

And what does one do after disembarking from the much needed high speed train from Tampa to Orlando?

Multiple familes living in one room in Florida where the majority of housing in the county is considered substandard.

Deficit, what deficit? Take two aspirin and call me in the next decade

2 Feb

 

Today’s (February 2, 2010) New York Times contains an editorial about the Obama budget.  After reading it, you would think all is right with the world and any rationale is viable to keep spending and raising taxes.  Indeed, we can each make a valid case for any issue over which we are passionate, a bridge to nowhere for example.  In addition, any discussion of the federal budget just assumes that things like Social Society and Medicare and Medicaid are off the table even though they make up the bulk of the budget and the bulk of the growing deficit. The NYT says the Presidents’ health care reform would have saved money on Medicare (by shifting those costs to everyone else), but that was an illusion from the start, at the same time they were touting saving money they were improving the much decried drug benefit, expanding an entitlement to be precise.

Will everyone who took a car or homebuyer credit please sit down.

I beg to differ on this rationalized justification to continue bankrupting American.  I truly fear for our future, our place in the world, and for the kind of lives we are planning for our children and grandchildren. Let’s be clear though, this is not entirely the fault of politicians.  Americans have come to want more and more without regard to where it is coming from.  It’s fine to bitch and moan about taxes and spending but don’t have your hand out for a new community center or high speed rail line or more subsidized this or that at the same time you are complaining. In today’s political environment Americans are told more and more about what they deserve, what they are entitled to and are promised help with everything from buying a car, to a home, to hiring a new employee all with unquestioned justification in the name of recovery.  Guess what, we are not recovering from anything at the rate we are going.  Step back and look at all this with a wide-angle lens, something is wrong.  While government and its debt grow, we are crippling individual initiative and undermining individual

Are those real, I don't think I ever saw a dollar

responsibility.  No, I am not a right wing Limbaugh wannabe, just someone who cannot fathom the apparent belief that we can keep charging our national credit card and make only minimum payments.

Let’s look at Social Security, untouchable you say.  How about this?  Under the law a person can be divorced an unlimited number of times and each ex-spouse (meeting certain basic criteria) can receive 50% of the ex’s monthly benefits and 100% of the benefit upon the ex spouses death.  So, let’s say a man earns the maximum and pays the maximum tax thereby collecting $2323 per month.  Let us also say the man was married three times including his current wife. Even though he paid as one person and one spouse via his payroll taxes, upon the ex-spouses attain age 60, they each can claim $1,161.50 even if the ex husband has not started collecting a benefit.  In other words, at some point, this clan could be collecting $5807.50 per month and when the guy dies the total monthly benefit to three ex-wives would be $6,969 per month.  Under a private pension, the employee may be forced to give away 100% of his pension in a divorce, but the pension plan can never pay more than the total benefit earned by the worker, that is not so with Social Security, so where does all the extra money come from?  Hee, hee.  This is just one example where an entitlement has gotten out of hand. 

How about the cost of living under Social Security, a COLA is rare in a private pension, but quite common for all government plans, do we see a pattern here?  When the formula under Social Security did not call for an adjustment in benefits for 2010, the cry immediately went out from many in Congress to provide the COLA anyway, and the President wanted to give each retiree $250 in lieu of the COLA.  That should give you an idea of the sincerity associated with trimming the deficit. 

However, back to the COLA, there are many things that can be done that would have a major impact on future liabilities and the deficit.  Some of these were called for by earlier studies of the problem.  For one, the basis for the COLA could be adjusted to accurately reflect the cost of living that applies to seniors, or suspend the COLA for a few years and replace it with non-compounding lump sum payments. Why not cap the COLA, perhaps phase it out over a period of years and or grant it based on total income of Social Security recipients so that incomes over a certain level would be capped or receive only lump sums?  The point is that if anyone gets serious about reform and the deficit and Americans look toward the common good and not their own ox, there are ways to solve these problems gradually.

One thing is for sure, the way to solve our financial woes is not to keep spending and raising taxes to chase an entitlement mentality. 

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Creative ideas, maybe – suspend sales taxes?

1 Feb

Do they get it?

Senators Charles Schumer, D-N.Y and Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, wrote an op-ed piece for the New York Times  January 25  in which they called for a Social Security tax break for employers in orders to boost job creation.

The Senators said that, under their plan, “any private-sector employer that hires a worker who had been unemployed for at least 60 days will not have to pay its 6.2% Social Security payroll tax on that employee for the duration of 2010.”

“The Social Security trust fund will then be made whole with spending cuts elsewhere in the budget between now and 2015.”

I don't seem to be getting anywhere

Creating jobs is a fleeting thing if there is no real work to be done. What happens at the end of 2010? Will spending cuts really replenish Social Security? Why would an employer hire and incur all related expenses to save the 6.2% that it would not pay if they don’t hire. Employer are not stupid, they understand the need to sustain a worker in a job when they are hired, that means they have something to do that adds value and revenue to an organization.  Workers were not laid off because of the Social Security tax they were laid off because demand was down and there was no work for them to do.

The key is demand for the goods and services newly hired workers provide, not gimmicks.

A better way to stimulate demand and help the unemployed at the same time; find a way to suspend sales taxes , perhaps by rolling it across America, by certain goods and services, whatever. That goes immediately to people but only if they spend which in turn creates demand across a wide spectrum (and gives politicians less money to throw away).

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